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Home / All Articles / Handicapper Guide / Michael Alexander
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Articles by Michael Alexander


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  54 articles found
Coaching NFL Picks Betting Trends for Weeek #12
Michael Alexander Nov 25, 2009  

The more you read about trends and angles the more you can get confused with making a profitable NFL pick. Over the years I have been successful in utilizing trends and angles as a part of my NFL picks handicapping arsenal. One such slant on these trends that has been useful is that of the head coaches. Yes, the players are the ones who ultimately excute the coaches NFL picks game plan but i ...  read more

Betting the NFL Picks Best Teams.....Week #9 NFL Predictions
Michael Alexander Nov 6, 2009  

Over the course of the last few NFL Picks years there has been much talk about parity. In fact, for the most part, if you were a bettor who just loved to wager on the favorites you would have drained your NFL Picks bankroll and made your book maker very happy. However, this season has seen the reversal of fortunes. So much for parity as the NFL Picks favorite has dominated this season. With ...  read more

Handiapping This Years NCAAF Team Win Totals
Michael Alexander Sep 1, 2009  

The College Football begins their NCAAF Picks season this week and with it comes a plethora of opportunities for profitable bets. One of the problems however, is that with so many teams how do you actually pinpoint opportunities for NCAAF picks profits? One way that I have routinely done this and created profits is to go into the season with a plan. One way is to understand the trends of how ...  read more

NFL Picks: Preseason Week 2 Trends and Predictions
Michael Alexander Aug 21, 2009  

The NFL Picks preseason swings into it's second week of action with two games last night and the remainder today and this weekend. Last week saw some strong trends go by the wayside as the Giants, Titans, and Bills all won both SU and ATS which was contrary to a combined 7-25-1 ATS NFL Picks preseason Week 1 angles. That is why it's very important to understand all aspects of handicapping the ...  read more

NFL Picks: Preseason NFL Predictions
Michael Alexander Jul 31, 2009  

It's about that time of the year where everyone is chomping at the bit to get some action down on NFL picks. For those of us in that boat it's only a little more than a week when we get our chance with the NFL Picks Hall of Fame game next Sunday, August 9th. Although you'll certainly here all about the pros and cons about betting the NFL Picks preseason, the fact remains, that if you can effe ...  read more

Free NBA Picks - Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers
Michael Alexander Apr 18, 2009  

The Houston Rockets look to take the upstart Portland Trail Blazers to school tonight in game one of the NBA Picks Playoff series. One focus of the Rockets will be Brandon Roy who is averaging 22.6 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this NBA Picks season. He's had 55 games with 20 or more points, and 12 with 30 or more. The duties to stop Roy is going to the duo of Ron Artest and S ...  read more

MLB Picks - AL Eastern Divison Betting Preview
Michael Alexander Apr 11, 2009  

The MLB Picks baseball season rolls into it's second full week of action and as is typically the case has started with a few surprises. In the American League East both of the front runners (Red Sox and Yankees) sit towards the bottom of the MLB Picks division with Baltimore and Toronto at the top. Although it's early and certainly not a reason to panic it will be interesting to see if it hol ...  read more

NCAAB Final Four Betting Trends and Angles
Michael Alexander Apr 4, 2009  

The College Basketball Picks season has whittled itself down to the Final Four teams when Uconn takes on Michigan State and Villanova looks to upset North Carolina. Both of the #1 seeds come into this weekend of Final NCAAB Picks listed as the favorite. Historically the #1 seeds have been a profitable endeavor as they are 7-3 ATS the last 10 NCAAB Picks. The #3 seeds (Villanova) have also be ...  read more

NCAAB Picks - Handicapping the Final Four
Michael Alexander Apr 4, 2009  

Today the College Basketball Picks world looks to the Final Four teams left in the Tournament. When looking at the trends of all final four and championship games played since 1996 it shows that favorites are 25-14 SU and 20-19 ATS (15-10 SU and 12-14 ATS in the Semis and 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS in the Championship Game). Analysing this part of the NCAAB Picks season there are certainly some situa ...  read more

Final Four NCAAB Picks -- Who Has the Edge?
Michael Alexander Mar 30, 2009  

Tickets to the Final Four have been punched and two of the finalists come from, what some acknowlegde as the Power Conference of NCAAB Picks, the Big East. Between now and the actual games you'll be able to read all sorts of articles about who is going to make a profitable NCAAB Pick. Handicapping the final games is all about matchups, motivation, injuries, and historical perspectives. Althou ...  read more

NCAAB Tournament Champion -- Does History Point to the Winner?
Michael Alexander Mar 29, 2009  

It's a tough road to the Final Four of the NCAAB Tournament Picks and as history has shown there is a big difference between getting to that point in the tournament and winning it all. Through all of the data and information that is out there does historical data and trends tell us anything about who will be crowned this years NCAAB Tournament Picks Champion? Well, let's take a look at the wh ...  read more

NCAAB Picks Elite 8 Trends, Angles, and Predictions
Michael Alexander Mar 28, 2009  

"March Madness" is in full swing as the NCAAB Picks Elite 8 kicks off today with the East and West Regional finals. Although last night produced some minor surprises the fact of the matter is that all #1 seeds are still alive to make it to the final four! So now we're down to the final 8 contestants of the tournament. In identifying profitable NCAAB picks it's important to look at trends and ...  read more

NCAAB Tournament Picks Sweet 16 Profit Making Tendencies
Michael Alexander Mar 24, 2009  

March Madness of College Basketball Picks is in full swing with the third round beginning this week (affectionately called the Sweet 16). The lack of major surprises in the second round of the NCAAB Picks tournament has now produced, for only the first time, only two teams lower than a 4 seed advancing to the Sweet 16. Purdue and #12 seeded Arizona hope to make it 23 out of 25 years that a hi ...  read more

NCAAB Tournament Picks Second Round Trends and Recommendations
Michael Alexander Mar 21, 2009  

The "Big Dance" is now down to 32 teams and it's time to move to the second round of NCAAB Picks. Although the first round didn't produce as many NCAAB Picks surprises as usual it did give some of the big boys a scare and produce a huge upset with Cleveland State crushing Wake Forest. So, as we move into the second round to get down to the Sweet 16 next weekend let's take a look at second rou ...  read more

NCAAB Picks Tournament Trends and First Round Recommendations....
Michael Alexander Mar 18, 2009  

The NCAAB Picks regular season is complete and now all focus turns to arguably the most watched sporting events, outside of the Super Bowl, in the land. The 2 1/2 weeks that we call March Madness generates more betting action than any other sporting event(s). Along with the team of 64 comes numerous NCAAB Picks opportunities and profits. To get us started I broke out some key trends for the ...  read more

Can NCAAB Picks Betting Lines Provide Insight for Winning NCAAB Bracket Picks?
Michael Alexander Mar 17, 2009  

It's NCAAB Picks College Tournament time and with it comes numerous Bracket Contests. Everywhere you turn there's articles and opinions to help you make winning NCAAB Bracket Picks. Most of these center around seed position and how they have faired over the course of time. Although one would like you to believe that seeding position helps in winning these contests the fact of the matter is t ...  read more

Is Looking Ahead in NBA Picks an Angle Worth Betting On?
Michael Alexander Mar 16, 2009  

If you have been around NBA Picks betting circles long enough you'll he a ton of handicappers talk about an NBA team looking ahead to their next game? The “look ahead” angle seems to be blamed more than any other situation for a team’s loss or poor effort. So the question really becomes, does the influence of the “look ahead” really create NBA Picks profits or is it all just a bunch of talk? read more

Does Fading the General Public Create NBA Picks Profits
Michael Alexander Mar 14, 2009  

It has been written many times in the past that the majority of bettors do not make money with their NBA picks. Because of this you have many "experts" who make a living touting that if you generally go against the public that you'll create profitable NBA picks! So, as I usually do, I decided to take a look at last weeks (3/2 to 3/8) NBA Picks action to see if in fact we could have created so ...  read more

Saturday's key NCAAB Picks, Trends, and Recommendations....
Michael Alexander Mar 7, 2009  

It's the last full Saturday of the College Basketball season with some well known teams who has routinely made the playoffs on the bubble this season. Specifically Floriday and Kentucky seem to be in trouble of making the "big Dance" and just happen to be playing each other today! In pouring over the largest card of the season there are some key NCAAB Picks today! Looking at some key trends ...  read more

Overcoming a Huge Deficit in the NBA....Is This a Winning NBA Pick?
Michael Alexander Feb 28, 2009  

The NBA season is a long one and there are certainly a number of angles that tend to work over the course of the season with looking for an NBA Picks advantage. For years a number of "experts" hung their hat of fading teams playing their second of back to back games on the road. That was certainly an profitable NBA picks angle for a while but like anything else the book makers caught up to th ...  read more

Second Half NBA Picks, Trends and Recommendations....
Michael Alexander Feb 21, 2009  

The All Star Break is in the past signaling the "second half" of the NBA Picks season. Like any season in the past, the first part has brought both surprises (Atlanta) and disappointments (Phoenix) of NBA Picks. However, even though we might have had an advantage in NBA Picks early in the season the odds makers have a tendency to even the score out making the necessary adjustments to the numb ...  read more

Saturday NCAAB Trends, Angles and Recommendations
Michael Alexander Feb 14, 2009  

The NCAAB Picks season is coming down the stretch and with that comes the battle for league tltles and/or a push for the conference post season tournaments. Still more are on the "bubble" in qualifying for the "Big Dance" in the NCAAB Picks tournament. In addition, there are other teams that are fading late in the season and could present an opportunity for a profitable pick dow the stretch. ...  read more

Does Quality of an Opponent Give you an Advantage with your NBA Picks?
Michael Alexander Feb 7, 2009  

The NBA season is a long one and because of this presents a number of NBA Picks angles through the year. Some prescribe to the back to back game scenerio betting where they fade a team playing for the second night in a row! Other's look to capatilize on teams playing their last game of a long road trip (more than 5 games) as an angle to play against. In this article I decided to through anot ...  read more

Is the Winning Super Bowl Pick Already in the Bag?
Michael Alexander Jan 30, 2009  

This year’s Super Bowl seems to be just another game as it can't compete with all the hpye from a year ago when New England and the New York Giants hooked up with all the buzz surrounding a perfect season. But don't let this year's matchup fool you as it too has some interesting stories. First off we have a team (Arizona) who had not won a playoff since 1947. On the other side of the field Pi ...  read more

Focusing on Road Teams with NBA Picks...Is it Worth it!?
Michael Alexander Jan 24, 2009  

Certainly you can read a plethora of articles on the advantages or disavantages of betting road teams with NBA picks. In fact, manay an "expert" handicapper has claimed large winning percentages in focusing just on road teams. Just like anything else in the handicapping world, there are some exagerated claims with trends and angles of any types. However, if you utilize all of the information ...  read more

Does Home Field Advantage Matter in Today's NFL Championship Picks?
Michael Alexander Jan 18, 2009  

The NFL season has whittled the field down to four NFL Picks teams, two of which will earn the honor of participating in this years Super Bowl. Teams play all season attempting to end up with a record that would earn them the right to play at home during the "second season" of NFL Picks. You hear all the time of teams boasting that the road to the Super Bowl goes through them. All and all tha ...  read more

Will Betting the Dogs in this Weeks NFL Playoff Picks be Profitable?
Michael Alexander Jan 10, 2009  

It's the second weekend of NFL Playoff Picks action where the result will whittle down the combatants to a mere four teams for next weeks Conference Championships. After a run of 9-2 ATS for underdogs the first week of NFL Picks saw that proposition only post a 2-2 mark. As of this writing with Baltimore beating Tennessee, this years mark stands at 3-2 ATS (a respectable 60%). The playoffs t ...  read more

Who has the Edge in this Weeks NFL Playoff Picks...
Michael Alexander Jan 3, 2009  

The regular season of NFL Picks has concluded and now it's time to turn our attention to this weeks NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks. Looking at this years participants there are certainly some surprises because I can't think of many "experts" who listed Minnesota, Atlanta or Arizona as making it to the playoffs at the beginning of the year. It has been a number of years since these teams have made ...  read more

New Years Day College Bowl Picks, Trends, and Angles...
Michael Alexander Jan 1, 2009  

It's the start of the New Year and with that the signal that we are now getting to some of the best College Bowl Picks matchups of this season rendition of the "playoffs". There has been some mild surprises thus far but none that I would consider an huge surprise. There's been some exciting matchups and some not so exciting (just look at that yawner yesterday between Pitt and Oregon St). So, ...  read more

NFL Picks, Trends, and Angles for this Weeka Playoff Spots....
Michael Alexander Dec 27, 2008  

It's the final week of the NFL regular season and as with years past, it has certainly generated many surprises and much discussions. Teams that were picked at the beginning of the year to challenge for the Lombardi Trohpy have struggled while others identified as losers find themselves in the playoffs. With all of that said this week finds several NFL Picks teams on the verge of the playoffs ...  read more

Denver Broncos/San Diego Chargers Analysis.....
Michael Alexander Dec 27, 2008  

In what three weeks ago apeared to be a meanlingless contest between two AFC West Divison rivals, it as turned into all but that. However, a collapse by the Broncos and a winning streak by the Chargers has made tonight's contest in San Diego a do or do situation for the AFC West title. The winner going to the playoffs while the loser going to play golf.

The Broncos come into this conte ...  read more

Are Big-10 Teams Worth a College Bowl Pick?
Michael Alexander Dec 26, 2008  

Much has been made about teams in the Big-10 and their performance when they venture outside of their conference. Many "experts" point out that before their conference action early in the year they play less than formidable opponents and then finish off the season with no conference championship. In addition, they point out that they are nothing but slow teams that can't compete with the othe ...  read more

Saturday College Bowl Angles, Trends, and Picks....
Michael Alexander Dec 19, 2008  

The regular season of the College Football season has concluded and Saturday begins the Bowl season. Although the pundits have been agruing with regularity about instituting a playoff structure to settle the latest BCS controversy, the fact it that probably not in my lieftime will this happen. So instead of sitting here sulking about that possibility, the mission now is to lock in some profit ...  read more

Does Rest this Late in the Season Make for a Profitable College Football Pick?
Michael Alexander Nov 14, 2008  

There is certainly enough articles and opinions on the affects that a week of rest has on a team. Most of these are written on professional football as it appears that most believe that the "youngsters" in College Football don't really respond either positively or negatively to a week of rest. Although you could certainly make an arguement that once in the pro ranks the wear and tear eventual ...  read more

Are BCS Unbeaten Contenders Worth a College Football Pick this Week?
Michael Alexander Nov 7, 2008  

It's that time of the year when the run for a BCS takes shape and the rank of the unbeatens starts to dwindle. Some hopes of participating in a BCS Bowl has vanished while others still consider themselves in the hunt. Without argument, teams that are in the Top 10 and are still unbeaten certainly have the right to believe that if they keep winning they should land themselve to the promise lan ...  read more

Buying Points with NFL Picks, Does it Pay?
Michael Alexander Nov 1, 2008  

Buying points when betting NFL Picks as gained popularity over the years. Heck, I remember when I began handicapping sports over 20 years ago that you didn't have an option to do that. You just looked at the point spread, tried to shop for the best line you could and then made your NFL Picks. So you have to wonder why you can now buy down or up, depending on which side you like, the point sp ...  read more

Fading Favorites and Betting Dogs for Profitable College Football Picks
Michael Alexander Oct 31, 2008  

There are many different ways to handicap College Football Picks. Although there are some "experts" out there that want you to believe that they have the secret formula there are really only three primary forms of handicapping. They are fundamental, statistical and technical. Your best handicappers will employ a little of all three. This week in looking at our lineup of College Football pick ...  read more

Week #8 NFL Picks and Betting Angles....
Michael Alexander Oct 25, 2008  

The NFL season is quickly approaching the half way point and it has certainly been an interesting. Not only have we had some surprises but there have already been three head coaches fired for their teams lack of performance. The most recent in San Francisco as Singletary takes over for Nolan. Even with all of the turmoil it's still important to remember that it is football and every year has ...  read more

Packing it in for Profits with this Weeks College Football Picks...
Michael Alexander Oct 24, 2008  

In College Football Picks many twists and turns happen during the season based on the emotions of any particular team. In fact, it can be argued that in college football emotions can carry a team to levels that even the experts can't figure out. However, as we approach week #8 of the season you have to wonder if those same emotions that carried a team earlier are as much a factor now if they ...  read more

Week #7 NFL Picks and Betting Angles....
Michael Alexander Oct 18, 2008  

Although you can point to any season in which injuries have just about spoiled the season of a team this year it seems that more than a fair share of teams have been affected. Much has been written about the Patriots and Brady but there are other teams that have struggled with the injury bug as well. While handicapping NFL Picks this week it's certainly important to take injuries into account ...  read more

Road Teams and Profits This Week in College Football Picks....
Michael Alexander Oct 17, 2008  

In handicapping sporting events there are certainly enough opinions to support whatever team you feel will win in any given week of College Football Picks. However, the astute handicapper understands which ones are of value and which ones have no bearing on making a correct selection. One that I believe has a strong influence on the outcome of any particular game is the performance of a team ...  read more

Week #6 NFL Betting Angles and Picks....
Michael Alexander Oct 12, 2008  

The NFL season is quickly approaching the mid point and just like in years past there are pretenders as well as contenders imerging from the confusion. So, how do you separate the "BS" from the "Facts" to come up with come profitable NFL Picks? It's all in the numbers as they say, and one approach that has served well as a starting point is analysis of past angles and trends within the weeks ...  read more

Are Returning Starters in College Football a Key to Profits....
Michael Alexander Oct 10, 2008  

If you have been around sport handicapping for any period of time I am sure that you have heard talk about the experience of one team versus another. That is especially true when talk turns to playoffs or "big games". There is no doubt that it does have an impact as the season progresses and games become more important. The question however you have to answer is does the experience of a team ...  read more

Can a Week of Rest Turn Into a Profitable NFL Pick This Week....
Michael Alexander Oct 4, 2008  

Much has been written about bye weeks in the NFL and how it affects a teams performance in subsequent games. However, most of these articles focus on the bye week in it of itself. For the purposes of this article I decided to factor in a bye weeks affect on winning teams versus losing teams. Low and behold there certainly was something in this angle. In fact, losing teams faired better than ...  read more

When Betting the Unbeatens Can Be Hazardous to Your Bankroll....
Michael Alexander Oct 3, 2008  

The College Football Season is rolling along and this week marks the first week where the Conference Matchups really heat up. Along with that it is also far enough into the season where teams start to believe that they have a shot at a BCS Bowl birth. Especially when it comes to teams that roll into this week unbeaten at 5-0. However, for the bettor the important thing is whether or not thes ...  read more

NFL Week #4 Betting Angles and Predictions....
Michael Alexander Sep 27, 2008  

If anything that history can tell you when looking for NFL Picks it is that expect that unexpected. Who would have thought that Indy would be 1-2 and that the New England Patriots will be lucky to even make the playoffs. Regardless, it is also important to remember that the unexpected happens every season so focusing on the hear and now, although an important factor in picking winners, histor ...  read more

Does a Week off in College Football Give a Betting Advantage
Michael Alexander Sep 26, 2008  

There are certainly no shortage of articles that talk about the value of having a week off in college football. Does it make a team rusty, does it give them the rest they need to adjust game plans if off to a poor start to the season, etc. Although you can argue any and all positions I decided to just look at some of the facts as opposed to conjecture. Since we have begun week #4 of the Coll ...  read more

Saturday College Football Betting Trends and Recommendations....
Michael Alexander Sep 12, 2008  

You've heard it all before, don't rely solely on trends as they can send you to the poor house pretty quickly. When you think about College Football it the noises become even louder with the experts pointing to the fact that teams at this level have constant personnel turnover yielding those same trends useless. Although one could argue either way the fact of the matter is that if you look so ...  read more

NFL Week #1 Historical Trends and Pick Recommendations....
Michael Alexander Sep 7, 2008  

The first few weeks of the NFL can be tricky for the bettor as teams are coming off a pre-season that was more of an audition for players trying to own a spot on the roster rather than a bon-a-fide look into the true performance of a team. Teams that were active in the off season tend to present a challenge as well for the bettor who is trying to assess if the new acquisitions will have alread ...  read more

Saturday NCAAF Betting Trends and Recommendations.....
Michael Alexander Sep 6, 2008  

Although there is more to handicapping than going by straight trends and angles as teams in the College ranks changes from year to year can through historical performances right out the window. Look at the recent performance of the Floriday Seminoles who dominated for so long creating trends that if followed recently would have put us in the poor house. However, they are important to consider ...  read more



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